Cubrim-2 · research track

Global Addresser

Cubrim-2 asks a different question than the Cubrim-1 archiver: instead of squeezing bytes locally, can data be transmitted as short references (aiming for a sensible minimum — on the order of tens to a few hundred bytes) into shared, pre-distributed structures — the Valentov Universal Data Matrices? If sender and receiver already hold the same large structure, one can send instructions for selecting and assembling fragments rather than the object itself. This page is the live research log of that track: the hypothesis list and every status below come straight from the research database — nothing here is hardcoded or embellished.

The honest limit, stated first

A fixed short code can distinguish only a finite number of states, while the space of possible files grows exponentially with length — so a short address alone can never uniquely denote every long sequence. An address is meaningful only together with a catalog where the object already exists. And any honest result must charge the full cost: the addresses, the metadata, the residual data — and the shared matrix itself, which is only worth its size when amortized across many files and devices. Cubrim-2 therefore does not promise to “compress any file into 16 bytes”. It maps where global addressing genuinely beats local compression — and records, just as openly, where it structurally cannot.

How much space would ALL possible matrices take

We count in bits. An N-dimensional cube is a visual arrangement of a bit sequence: a 4×4×4 cube is 64 bits laid out in three dimensions. Dimensionality (1D/2D/3D/4D) is a way to arrange the same bits, not a different amount of them. Hence the number of all possible matrices of length B bits is 2^B and depends only on B: a 64-bit 1D string and a 4×4×4 cube share the same 2^64 ≈ 1.8×10^19 states.

B, bits cube example all possible = 2^B store them all (bytes) fits in 20,000×1 TB?
8 2×2×2 2.56×10² 2.56×10² B yes
27 3×3×3 1.34×10⁸ 4.53×10⁸ B yes
51 —(порог/threshold) 2.25×10¹⁵ 1.44×10¹⁶ B yes
64 4×4×4 1.84×10¹⁹ 1.48×10²⁰ B no
125 5×5×5 4.25×10³⁷ 6.65×10³⁸ B no
256 4×4×4×4 (4D) 1.16×10⁷⁷ 3.71×10⁷⁸ B no
1000 10×10×10 1.07×10³⁰¹ 1.34×10³⁰³ B no
4096 8×8×8×8 (4D) 1.04×10¹²³³ 5.35×10¹²³⁵ B no

Capacity yardstick: 20,000 disks of 1 TB = 2×10^16 bytes = 1.6×10^17 bits. The full-enumeration threshold is B = 51 bits: the last length at which all 2^B matrices (with their contents, 2^B×B bits = 1.44×10^16 bytes) still fit; at B = 52 they no longer do (2.93×10^16 bytes). A 4×4×4 cube (64 bits): just the 64-bit addresses of all 2^64 matrices would take 1.48×10^20 bytes ≈ 147.6 EB — four orders of magnitude beyond the yardstick. At B = 256 there are 1.16×10^77 matrices — still slightly fewer than the atoms in the observable universe (~10^80); the “more than atoms” line is crossed at B ≈ 266. Beyond that, super-exponential growth with no physical storage prospect whatsoever.

The honest conclusion: “all possible matrices” cannot be enumerated — 2^B diverges super-exponentially at lengths below a single machine word. So the Addresser stores not all possible blocks but only the ones ACTUALLY ENCOUNTERED (CAS/deduplication): their number is bounded by the volume of real data and obeys the track’s measured laws — 89.9% of blocks in an uncurated matrix occur exactly once (AH-19), and an honest 16–64 bytes per object is achievable only on an exact match against the catalog (AH-05). This is the same fundamental limit as the block above: an address is meaningful only together with a catalog where the object already exists.

On dimensionality: 2^B does not depend on it, but dimensionality changes which bits land in one cube when REAL data is tiled — and therefore how many unique cubes occur in practice. That is measured by a scan (part B of the experiment), not by a formula.

Formulas: number of matrices = 2^B; storing the contents = 2^B × B bits; the ordinal address of one matrix = B bits (2^B states). All numbers are computed with exact integer arithmetic (python), not estimates.

How much space the ACTUALLY encountered matrices need (scan experiment)

A real CROSS-DEVICE corpus of 13.48 GB (a union of three hosts: arcana-devs 9.06 + arcana-www 3.38 + arcana-prod 1.04 GB; the hosts exchanged only cube hashes) was tiled into cubes of B = 4096 bits (512 bytes) in four layouts of the same length: a 1D string of 4096, 2D 64×64, 3D 16×16×16, 4D 8×8×8×8. A layout groups DIFFERENT bits of the file into one cube (strided tiling with a 4096-byte row), so the number of unique cubes on real data differs — even though the number of possible ones (2^4096) is identical.

layout cubes scanned unique % unique cross-host overlap (cubes) store the unique
1D 4096 25 890 520 14 965 607 57.80% 1 847 617 7.14 GiB
2D 64×64 19 368 448 12 077 059 62.35% 1 260 924 5.76 GiB
3D 16×16×16 13 959 168 8 020 728 57.46% 943 354 3.82 GiB
4D 8×8×8×8 10 518 528 5 578 363 53.03% 768 085 2.66 GiB

There is NO saturation: the number of unique cubes grows almost linearly to the very end of the scan (devs-slice curve: 1D 10.9M unique at 7.3 GB → 12.3M at 8.3 GB) — real data at this cube length hardly “runs out”. On the devs slice, 72–82% of unique cubes were seen exactly once — the same measured law as AH-19 (89.9% on CDC chunks): an uncurated matrix is mostly dead weight. Cross-host overlap is real (0.77–1.85M cubes are shared between hosts), and it is what lowers the union corpus unique share to 53–62%.

Disks for the scan itself: 2.7–7.1 GiB of unique matrices per 13.48 GB of cross-device data — a fraction of one 1 TB disk. Extrapolating to the world’s stored data (on the order of 10 ZB = 10^22 bytes; order-of-magnitude per IDC Global DataSphere reports): with the measured 53–62% unique share on the cross-device corpus and NO saturation, the matrices would take ~5.3–6.2 ZB — billions of 1 TB disks, i.e. the same order as the data itself. THE EXTRAPOLATION IS LINEAR AND MARKED AS AN ASSUMPTION: the world corpus differs in composition, and saturation at larger volumes is not excluded — it was simply not observed in the scan.

Conclusions: (1) even storing only the ENCOUNTERED matrices at world scale is the same order as the data itself — the Addresser’s win lives not in a “warehouse of all cubes” but in deduplicating the repeated share (38–47% on the union corpus) and in r≥2 curation (AH-19); (2) the optimal layout by the “fewer unique” criterion is 4D (53.0% unique vs 62.4% for 2D on the union corpus) — multidimensional grouping does gather repeating bits more often, with a moderate margin (~6–9 pp); (3) the comparison is honest with a caveat: layouts need different alignment (2D — 256 KB blocks, 4D — 2 MB), so corpus coverage differs — figures are per each layout’s covered share.

Scripts: probe_matrix_scan.py + matrix_scan_dump.py (strides in the header; the cross-device union exchanges hashes only, MTX-scan-crossdevice-v1); cube hash blake2b-96; saturation curve checkpointed every 500 MB; all figures measured, the extrapolation labeled.

Wave 1 — research complete

Wave-1 deep research is complete: each of the 24 hypotheses carries a real measured verdict (full-cost charged accounting, falsification test executed, script+SHA on the card). GO means the mechanism works and is measured; NO-GO means it is closed by measurement or strict arithmetic. Predicted levers remain predictions and are labeled; the measured numbers live in every card below.

NO-GO · 9 GO · 15
shared context (dictionary / fragments) · 4 identity dedup — reference ≪ payload on exact match · 3 structurally cannot win (boundary) · 4 infrastructure cost accounting · 10 near-match + delta · 3

Generated: 2026-08-28T23:15:22Z · db:addressor_hypotheses

Hypotheses · 24

Page 4 / 12

AH-07 NO-GO W1 · 2026-07-13

Two-level fragment address into the matrix

If a fragment address is (version, section, offset, len, flags) ~16-24 B for a fragment already present in the matrix, then net bytes on structured boilerplate drop by covered_fraction x (1 - address/fragment_len), because typical fragments are long and frequent.

Data class (Z)
boilerplate, licenses, templates, format wrappers, copy-pasted code
Address target
24 B
Predicted lever
coverage by fragments >=256 B on office/code/web classes 20-60% (prediction)
Ceiling category
shared context (dictionary / fragments)
Mechanism
a reference is cheaper than a long frequent fragment
Falsification test
corpus scan: coverage <15% OR savings <= zstd-with-dictionary -> NO-GO (AH-01 subsumes)
Full cost (total_cost)
address: 16-24 B x fragment count · metadata: insertion-point markup (its own decoder branch — charged per Gotcha #6) · residual: uncovered bytes through the local codec · amortized: matrix sections holding the fragment pool.
Probe verdict
NO-GO — both pre-registered conditions fired: coverage by >=256 B fragments is only 10.69% (<15%) AND savings <= the zstd dictionary (per-file: fragments 0.2781 without catalog / 0.3017 with catalog vs dictionary 0.2664). The first probe version showed an apparent win — the AH-22 stand caught the confound (the residual was compressed as one solid stream against per-file baselines); with arms aligned the win vanished: the solid scenario with the catalog charged is 0.228 vs solid local 0.2153. Fragment addressing on this class degenerates into what a dictionary provides more cheaply.
Measured result (raw research log; descriptors partly in the RU original)
date
2026-07-14
probe
W1-fragments-v1b-fair

solid

L0_solid
0.2153
A_no_catalog
0.2044
A_with_catalog
0.228

class_z

small structured files (<128 KiB, text-ish), real KB

verdict
NO-GO

per_file

L1_dict
0.2664
A_no_catalog
0.2781
A_with_catalog
0.3017
coverage_pct
10.69%

verdict_note

NO-GO — both pre-registered conditions fired: coverage by >=256 B fragments is only 10.69% (<15%) AND savings <= the zstd dictionary (per-file: fragments 0.2781 without catalog / 0.3017 with catalog vs dictionary 0.2664). The first probe version showed an apparent win — the AH-22 stand caught the confound (the residual was compressed as one solid stream against per-file baselines); with arms aligned the win vanished: the solid scenario with the catalog charged is 0.228 vs solid local 0.2153. Fragment addressing on this class degenerates into what a dictionary provides more cheaply.

pool_fragments
221 086
AH-08 GO W1 · 2026-07-13

Entropy coding of the reference stream

If the stream of matrix references is rANS-coded (frequent fragments get short codes), then the average reference cost on Zipf-distributed access classes falls from a nominal 16-32 B to effective single bytes, because access to a shared matrix is heavily skewed toward top fragments.

Data class (Z)
anything with Zipf-like access (web/code)
Address target
n/a
Predicted lever
top 1% of fragments >=50% of accesses (prediction)
Ceiling category
shared context (dictionary / fragments)
Mechanism
skewed reference distribution -> short codes for frequent entries
Falsification test
access distribution on a web/code corpus; near-uniform -> no lever; charge through the real backend (Gotcha #11)
Full cost (total_cost)
address: compressed by rANS down to the entropy of the access distribution · metadata: coder frequency tables/context · residual: unchanged · amortized: unchanged.
Probe verdict
GO with a mechanism correction: the metric is CONFIRMED (2.15 B/ref vs the 32 B nominal, −93.28% on a real stream of 325,048 references), but the predicted mechanism is REFUTED — there is no Zipf skew (the top 1% of catalog entries carries only 8.83% of accesses, not >=50%). The real source of the win is the ordinal into the shared catalog (~log2(633,603)=19.3 bits for a first reference) plus adaptive repeat codes, with no side tables (both ends learn from the shared stream — Gotcha #9/#11 discipline). Engineering takeaway: code references as ordinals + adaptively; do not count on skew. MULTI-CLASS (2026-07-15): the effective reference cost is stable across all 7 classes — 1.32-2.17 B (the ordinal+adaptive mechanism is class-independent).
Measured result (raw research log; descriptors partly in the RU original)
date
2026-07-15
probe
W1-zipf-v1
stream
реальный поток chunk-hit ссылок (тот же обход, что W1-router-v1)
verdict
GO

multiclass

date
2026-07-15
probe
DR-multiclass-v1

eff_bytes_per_ref_by_class

web
1.32
code
2.02
docs
1.81
media
2.17
other
2.09
config
1.65
archives
1.51
refs_total
325 048

verdict_note

GO with a mechanism correction: the metric is CONFIRMED (2.15 B/ref vs the 32 B nominal, −93.28% on a real stream of 325,048 references), but the predicted mechanism is REFUTED — there is no Zipf skew (the top 1% of catalog entries carries only 8.83% of accesses, not >=50%). The real source of the win is the ordinal into the shared catalog (~log2(633,603)=19.3 bits for a first reference) plus adaptive repeat codes, with no side tables (both ends learn from the shared stream — Gotcha #9/#11 discipline). Engineering takeaway: code references as ordinals + adaptively; do not count on skew. MULTI-CLASS (2026-07-15): the effective reference cost is stable across all 7 classes — 1.32-2.17 B (the ordinal+adaptive mechanism is class-independent).

catalog_entries
633 603
nominal_ref_bytes
9.92 MiB (10 401 536 B)
top1pct_share_pct
8.83%
adaptive_ref_bytes
683.01 KiB (699 398 B)
distinct_over_refs
0.4618
referenced_entries
150 098
saving_vs_nominal_pct
93.28%
effective_bytes_per_ref
2.15

Page 4 / 12

Where the Addresser cannot beat local compression

Six boundaries are fixed by wave 1 as explicit anti-hypotheses and no-win zones: unique high-entropy data (personal media, encrypted streams — nothing repeats globally); tiny unique files below the inversion point (fixed catalog costs exceed any saving); mathematically generated matrices (an address into an exhaustive or random pool costs at least as much as the content itself); a byte histogram or hash used as the data carrier (order is lost and buying it back costs the file’s entropy); long-tail content fetched roughly once (the first transfer is never repaid); and fragment schemes whose gain collapses into what a shared dictionary already provides. A tiny fixed-size reference per object (tens of bytes) is honestly achievable only on an exact match against a catalog that already stores the object; everywhere else the win criterion is simply that the reference plus all charged costs stay well below the payload it replaces — the reference size is a metric to minimize, not a hard gate.