Cubrim-2 · research track

Global Addresser

Cubrim-2 asks a different question than the Cubrim-1 archiver: instead of squeezing bytes locally, can data be transmitted as short references (aiming for a sensible minimum — on the order of tens to a few hundred bytes) into shared, pre-distributed structures — the Valentov Universal Data Matrices? If sender and receiver already hold the same large structure, one can send instructions for selecting and assembling fragments rather than the object itself. This page is the live research log of that track: the hypothesis list and every status below come straight from the research database — nothing here is hardcoded or embellished.

The honest limit, stated first

A fixed short code can distinguish only a finite number of states, while the space of possible files grows exponentially with length — so a short address alone can never uniquely denote every long sequence. An address is meaningful only together with a catalog where the object already exists. And any honest result must charge the full cost: the addresses, the metadata, the residual data — and the shared matrix itself, which is only worth its size when amortized across many files and devices. Cubrim-2 therefore does not promise to “compress any file into 16 bytes”. It maps where global addressing genuinely beats local compression — and records, just as openly, where it structurally cannot.

How much space would ALL possible matrices take

We count in bits. An N-dimensional cube is a visual arrangement of a bit sequence: a 4×4×4 cube is 64 bits laid out in three dimensions. Dimensionality (1D/2D/3D/4D) is a way to arrange the same bits, not a different amount of them. Hence the number of all possible matrices of length B bits is 2^B and depends only on B: a 64-bit 1D string and a 4×4×4 cube share the same 2^64 ≈ 1.8×10^19 states.

B, bits cube example all possible = 2^B store them all (bytes) fits in 20,000×1 TB?
8 2×2×2 2.56×10² 2.56×10² B yes
27 3×3×3 1.34×10⁸ 4.53×10⁸ B yes
51 —(порог/threshold) 2.25×10¹⁵ 1.44×10¹⁶ B yes
64 4×4×4 1.84×10¹⁹ 1.48×10²⁰ B no
125 5×5×5 4.25×10³⁷ 6.65×10³⁸ B no
256 4×4×4×4 (4D) 1.16×10⁷⁷ 3.71×10⁷⁸ B no
1000 10×10×10 1.07×10³⁰¹ 1.34×10³⁰³ B no
4096 8×8×8×8 (4D) 1.04×10¹²³³ 5.35×10¹²³⁵ B no

Capacity yardstick: 20,000 disks of 1 TB = 2×10^16 bytes = 1.6×10^17 bits. The full-enumeration threshold is B = 51 bits: the last length at which all 2^B matrices (with their contents, 2^B×B bits = 1.44×10^16 bytes) still fit; at B = 52 they no longer do (2.93×10^16 bytes). A 4×4×4 cube (64 bits): just the 64-bit addresses of all 2^64 matrices would take 1.48×10^20 bytes ≈ 147.6 EB — four orders of magnitude beyond the yardstick. At B = 256 there are 1.16×10^77 matrices — still slightly fewer than the atoms in the observable universe (~10^80); the “more than atoms” line is crossed at B ≈ 266. Beyond that, super-exponential growth with no physical storage prospect whatsoever.

The honest conclusion: “all possible matrices” cannot be enumerated — 2^B diverges super-exponentially at lengths below a single machine word. So the Addresser stores not all possible blocks but only the ones ACTUALLY ENCOUNTERED (CAS/deduplication): their number is bounded by the volume of real data and obeys the track’s measured laws — 89.9% of blocks in an uncurated matrix occur exactly once (AH-19), and an honest 16–64 bytes per object is achievable only on an exact match against the catalog (AH-05). This is the same fundamental limit as the block above: an address is meaningful only together with a catalog where the object already exists.

On dimensionality: 2^B does not depend on it, but dimensionality changes which bits land in one cube when REAL data is tiled — and therefore how many unique cubes occur in practice. That is measured by a scan (part B of the experiment), not by a formula.

Formulas: number of matrices = 2^B; storing the contents = 2^B × B bits; the ordinal address of one matrix = B bits (2^B states). All numbers are computed with exact integer arithmetic (python), not estimates.

How much space the ACTUALLY encountered matrices need (scan experiment)

A real CROSS-DEVICE corpus of 13.48 GB (a union of three hosts: arcana-devs 9.06 + arcana-www 3.38 + arcana-prod 1.04 GB; the hosts exchanged only cube hashes) was tiled into cubes of B = 4096 bits (512 bytes) in four layouts of the same length: a 1D string of 4096, 2D 64×64, 3D 16×16×16, 4D 8×8×8×8. A layout groups DIFFERENT bits of the file into one cube (strided tiling with a 4096-byte row), so the number of unique cubes on real data differs — even though the number of possible ones (2^4096) is identical.

layout cubes scanned unique % unique cross-host overlap (cubes) store the unique
1D 4096 25 890 520 14 965 607 57.80% 1 847 617 7.14 GiB
2D 64×64 19 368 448 12 077 059 62.35% 1 260 924 5.76 GiB
3D 16×16×16 13 959 168 8 020 728 57.46% 943 354 3.82 GiB
4D 8×8×8×8 10 518 528 5 578 363 53.03% 768 085 2.66 GiB

There is NO saturation: the number of unique cubes grows almost linearly to the very end of the scan (devs-slice curve: 1D 10.9M unique at 7.3 GB → 12.3M at 8.3 GB) — real data at this cube length hardly “runs out”. On the devs slice, 72–82% of unique cubes were seen exactly once — the same measured law as AH-19 (89.9% on CDC chunks): an uncurated matrix is mostly dead weight. Cross-host overlap is real (0.77–1.85M cubes are shared between hosts), and it is what lowers the union corpus unique share to 53–62%.

Disks for the scan itself: 2.7–7.1 GiB of unique matrices per 13.48 GB of cross-device data — a fraction of one 1 TB disk. Extrapolating to the world’s stored data (on the order of 10 ZB = 10^22 bytes; order-of-magnitude per IDC Global DataSphere reports): with the measured 53–62% unique share on the cross-device corpus and NO saturation, the matrices would take ~5.3–6.2 ZB — billions of 1 TB disks, i.e. the same order as the data itself. THE EXTRAPOLATION IS LINEAR AND MARKED AS AN ASSUMPTION: the world corpus differs in composition, and saturation at larger volumes is not excluded — it was simply not observed in the scan.

Conclusions: (1) even storing only the ENCOUNTERED matrices at world scale is the same order as the data itself — the Addresser’s win lives not in a “warehouse of all cubes” but in deduplicating the repeated share (38–47% on the union corpus) and in r≥2 curation (AH-19); (2) the optimal layout by the “fewer unique” criterion is 4D (53.0% unique vs 62.4% for 2D on the union corpus) — multidimensional grouping does gather repeating bits more often, with a moderate margin (~6–9 pp); (3) the comparison is honest with a caveat: layouts need different alignment (2D — 256 KB blocks, 4D — 2 MB), so corpus coverage differs — figures are per each layout’s covered share.

Scripts: probe_matrix_scan.py + matrix_scan_dump.py (strides in the header; the cross-device union exchanges hashes only, MTX-scan-crossdevice-v1); cube hash blake2b-96; saturation curve checkpointed every 500 MB; all figures measured, the extrapolation labeled.

Wave 1 — research complete

Wave-1 deep research is complete: each of the 24 hypotheses carries a real measured verdict (full-cost charged accounting, falsification test executed, script+SHA on the card). GO means the mechanism works and is measured; NO-GO means it is closed by measurement or strict arithmetic. Predicted levers remain predictions and are labeled; the measured numbers live in every card below.

NO-GO · 9 GO · 15
shared context (dictionary / fragments) · 4 identity dedup — reference ≪ payload on exact match · 3 structurally cannot win (boundary) · 4 infrastructure cost accounting · 10 near-match + delta · 3

Generated: 2026-08-29T00:23:18Z · db:addressor_hypotheses

Hypotheses · 24

Page 8 / 12

AH-15 GO W1 · 2026-07-13

Near-match address + delta (rsync kin)

If the address points to the nearest matrix fragment and only a delta is transmitted, then net bytes on versioned data fall to address + delta << full, because adjacent versions are close in content.

Data class (Z)
code, documents, backup chains
Address target
32 B
Predicted lever
large (rsync practice — external reference, not a measurement)
Ceiling category
near-match + delta
Mechanism
small deltas between versions; rolling-hash nearest search
Falsification test
charged: address + delta + catalog share vs local zstd-19 with dictionary on multiversion; loses -> NO-GO
Full cost (total_cost)
address: 32 B of the nearest fragment · metadata: delta application instructions · residual: the delta itself · amortized: a rolling-hash index over the ENTIRE matrix — a heavy catalog line item.
Probe verdict
GO — the verdict holds under the HONEST strong bar zstd --ultra -22 (+dictionary): charged delta 0.0338-0.0358 vs the 0.1409-0.3048 bar — 4.2-8.5x better, winning in every similarity decile (real zstd patch-from, 339 real git pairs). Scope unchanged: version-chain (base identity is free). Binary-media/config classes unmeasured (too few pairs in the KB git history); follow-up — backup chains. TAILS (2026-07-16): the config class measured at a small n=34 (honestly flagged) — delta 0.030 vs plain-22 0.298, the same order of win as docs/code; binary-media version pairs DO NOT EXIST in the fleet history (assets are add-only) — that class is covered by AH-05 identity dedup by construction, delta is not needed there. DEPTH+NEAR-MATCH (2026-07-16): (1) decay by ancestor depth is graceful — 0.021/0.054/0.106/0.201 at k=1/2/4/8 (n=28, flagged): even against a base 8 versions back, delta is 5x better than plain-22, so the backup chain can be sparse; (2) incremental near-match BEYOND version chains is alive: 5.72% of corpus bytes have a partner with >=20% chunk overlap (candidates are a free by-product of the CAS chunk->file catalog, NOT signatures), delta on them is 0.198 and wins on 100% of files — the pre-registered <5%-of-bytes bar did not fire. THRESHOLD/TOP-K/CROSS-DEVICE (2026-07-16): delta wins in EVERY overlap band down to 10-20% (0.666<1; bands 20+ give 0.12-0.44) — the near-match enable threshold can drop to ~10%, adding +2.3 pp of mass over the 20% threshold; a top-3 base concatenation yields only 0.971 vs best-1 — the complexity does not pay, one best base suffices; cross-device: 23.49% of devs bytes are covered >=10% by the other hosts’ pool, 19.72% fully (that is already pure CDC dedup), the partial band is ~3.8 pp — cross-device near-match exists on top of dedup, with the base assembled from shared chunks.
Measured result (raw research log; descriptors partly in the RU original)
date
2026-07-15
probe
DR-delta-v1

tails

date
2026-07-16

binary_media

finding

пар версий НЕ СУЩЕСТВУЕТ во всей истории флота (40000 коммитов): бинарные ассеты add-only — не мутируют

implication
класс покрывается identity-дедупом (AH-05), дельте там нечего делать

config_smalln

pairs
34
probe
DR-delta-config-smalln-v1

caveat

малое n=34, порог ослаблен до 1КиБ

L22_plain
0.2976
D22_delta_charged
0.03
backend
zstd patch-from (RAWCONTENT dict + LDM) — реальный rsync-потомок
charges
32Б адрес базы + 64Б манифест + 2Б каталог/объект (измеренная точка AH-09)

classes

L3pairsL19_dict_barD19_delta_charged
code0.34061390.14110.0338
docs0.40662000.3050.0358
verdict
GO

scenario

version-chain: база известна по идентичности пути (истории версий/бэкап-цепочки); generic-поиск ближайшего НЕ заряжается — он закрыт AH-14

v2_ultra22

date
2026-07-15
probe
DR-delta-v2-ultra22

classes

L22_dict_barD22_delta_charged
code0.14090.0338
docs0.30480.0358
baseline
zstd --ultra -22 + словарь (директива оператора: базлайн мирового бенчмарка)

sensitivity

выигрыш во ВСЕХ децилях похожести (D19/bar = 0.10-0.21); уровень 3 vs 19 — дельта доминирует на обоих

verdict_note

GO — the verdict holds under the HONEST strong bar zstd --ultra -22 (+dictionary): charged delta 0.0338-0.0358 vs the 0.1409-0.3048 bar — 4.2-8.5x better, winning in every similarity decile (real zstd patch-from, 339 real git pairs). Scope unchanged: version-chain (base identity is free). Binary-media/config classes unmeasured (too few pairs in the KB git history); follow-up — backup chains. TAILS (2026-07-16): the config class measured at a small n=34 (honestly flagged) — delta 0.030 vs plain-22 0.298, the same order of win as docs/code; binary-media version pairs DO NOT EXIST in the fleet history (assets are add-only) — that class is covered by AH-05 identity dedup by construction, delta is not needed there. DEPTH+NEAR-MATCH (2026-07-16): (1) decay by ancestor depth is graceful — 0.021/0.054/0.106/0.201 at k=1/2/4/8 (n=28, flagged): even against a base 8 versions back, delta is 5x better than plain-22, so the backup chain can be sparse; (2) incremental near-match BEYOND version chains is alive: 5.72% of corpus bytes have a partner with >=20% chunk overlap (candidates are a free by-product of the CAS chunk->file catalog, NOT signatures), delta on them is 0.198 and wins on 100% of files — the pre-registered <5%-of-bytes bar did not fire. THRESHOLD/TOP-K/CROSS-DEVICE (2026-07-16): delta wins in EVERY overlap band down to 10-20% (0.666<1; bands 20+ give 0.12-0.44) — the near-match enable threshold can drop to ~10%, adding +2.3 pp of mass over the 20% threshold; a top-3 base concatenation yields only 0.971 vs best-1 — the complexity does not pay, one best base suffices; cross-device: 23.49% of devs bytes are covered >=10% by the other hosts’ pool, 19.72% fully (that is already pure CDC dedup), the partial band is ~3.8 pp — cross-device near-match exists on top of dedup, with the base assembled from shared chunks.

depth_sensitivity

date
2026-07-16
probe
DR-delta-depth-v1

caveat

n=28 длинных цепочек (>=9 версий)

chains
28

delta_ratio_vs_plain22_by_depth

k1
0.021
k2
0.054
k4
0.106
k8
0.201

nearmatch_overlap

date
2026-07-16
probe
DR-nearmatch-overlap-v1 sha:f6a760bdf642

sample

bytes
765.05 MiB (802 210 346 B)
files
5 372
delta_wins_on_pct_files
100
delta_ratio_on_candidates
0.198
files_with_partner_ge20pct_bytes_pct
5.72%

overlap_sensitivity

date
2026-07-16

topk

n
61
verdict
не окупается
top3_concat_vs_best1
0.971

xdev

probe
DR-xdev-overlap-v1
partial_band_pp
3.77 pp
fully_covered_ge99.9pct
19.72%
devs_bytes_covered_by_prodwww_ge10pct
23.49%
probe
DR-overlap-sens-v1 sha:4bdf309ac992

delta_ratio_by_band

>=40
0.239
10-20
0.666
20-30
0.12
30-40
0.437

bytes_pct_with_partner_ge

10
7.32
20
5
30
4.58
40
3.97
falsification_executed
бар «не бьёт zstd-19 со словарём» НЕ сработал: дельта лучше бара в 8.5x (docs) и 4.2x (code)
AH-16 GO W1 · 2026-07-13

Impossibility class: unique already-compressed/encrypted — anti-hypothesis

If any addressing is applied to unique already-compressed or encrypted streams, then total_cost is strictly >= the original, because such streams are statistically indistinguishable from random, never recur in the global pool (hit-rate ~0), and addresses plus manifest are pure overhead.

Data class (Z)
personal .jpg/.mp4/.zst, TLS dumps
Address target
n/a
Predicted lever
boundary confirmation: 0 whole-chunk hits (predicted)
Ceiling category
structurally cannot win (boundary)
Mechanism
statistical randomness + absence of global repeats
Falsification test
hit-rate on a unique-media corpus; a systematic non-zero hit would refute (not expected)
Full cost (total_cost)
address+manifest: pure overhead · residual: the whole file · amortized: repaid by nothing — hit-rate ~0 by class construction.
Probe verdict
GO — the boundary is CONFIRMED on a measurement-verified unique corpus (the follow-up executed): 2,871 real media files (2.8 GiB) whose uniqueness is proven by the absence of copies across the whole fleet show only 2.75% repeated chunk mass (the residue being shared container/EXIF structures). For the truly unique class, addressing is pure overhead as predicted; class membership is decided by MEASURED dup-ness (the wave-1 key finding stands).
Measured result (raw research log; descriptors partly in the RU original)
date
2026-07-14
probe
W1-unique-media-v1

by_ext

gz
92.59
jpg
93.54
mp3
100
pdf
100
jpeg
93.51
png_2.99GiB
8.82
corpus
3347 media files 3.1 GiB (exact file-dups excluded), union 3-host occurrence pool
verdict
GO

verdict_note

GO — the boundary is CONFIRMED on a measurement-verified unique corpus (the follow-up executed): 2,871 real media files (2.8 GiB) whose uniqueness is proven by the absence of copies across the whole fleet show only 2.75% repeated chunk mass (the residue being shared container/EXIF structures). For the truly unique class, addressing is pure overhead as predicted; class membership is decided by MEASURED dup-ness (the wave-1 key finding stands).

verified_unique

date
2026-07-15
bytes
2.61 GiB (2 805 221 650 B)
class
медиа с fleet-wide whole-file occurrence == 1 (уникальность ИЗМЕРЕНА, не по типу)
files
2 871
probe
DR-verified-unique-v1
repeated_chunk_mass_pct
2.752%
repeated_chunk_mass_pct
12.04%

Page 8 / 12

Where the Addresser cannot beat local compression

Six boundaries are fixed by wave 1 as explicit anti-hypotheses and no-win zones: unique high-entropy data (personal media, encrypted streams — nothing repeats globally); tiny unique files below the inversion point (fixed catalog costs exceed any saving); mathematically generated matrices (an address into an exhaustive or random pool costs at least as much as the content itself); a byte histogram or hash used as the data carrier (order is lost and buying it back costs the file’s entropy); long-tail content fetched roughly once (the first transfer is never repaid); and fragment schemes whose gain collapses into what a shared dictionary already provides. A tiny fixed-size reference per object (tens of bytes) is honestly achievable only on an exact match against a catalog that already stores the object; everywhere else the win criterion is simply that the reference plus all charged costs stay well below the payload it replaces — the reference size is a metric to minimize, not a hard gate.